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Ratings News - 15th October 2014

Today's Early Overnight Ratings

Top 25 Markets - 18-49
Thanks to Ed for the Top 25

Selfie 1.2
Manhattan 1.0
MAOS 1.9
Forever 1.1
Flash 1.9
Supernatural 1.0
Voice 3.6
Marry Me 2.7
AAB 1.9
CF 2.0
NCIS 2.2
NOLA 1.7
POI 1.2
Simpsons (R) 0.8
Bob's (R) 0.7
New Girl 1.5
Mindy 1.3

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.

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Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Tuesday Ratings
Solid Sampling for NBC Sitcom “Marry Me”

Tuesday 10/14/14

CBS 9.1/14
NBC 6.0/10
ABC 3.1/ 5
CW 2.3/ 4
Fox 1.4/ 2

-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Tuesday 10/15/13:
CW: +53, NBC: – 3, CBS: – 7, ABC: – 9, Fox: -46

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. As always, these overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

“NCIS” (CBS), “The Voice” (NBC), “The Flash” (CW), “NCIS: New Orleans” (CBS)

-Positive Sampling:
“Marry Me” (NBC)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
“Selfie” (ABC), “Manhattan Love Story” (ABC), “New Girl” (Fox), “The Mindy Project” (Fox)


Ratings Breakdown:
CBS scored a typical overnight Tuesday victory, besting No. 2 NBC by a sizeable 52 percent. But the race among adults 18-49 (and other key young adult demos) could be a close call. The CW, meanwhile, has a bona fide hit on its Tuesday roster called “The Flash,” which in week two scored a 3.0 rating/5 share in the household overnights from 8-9 p.m. Comparably, this was 88 percent above former time period occupant “The Originals” on the year-ago evening (1.6/ 2 on 10/15/13), with erosion of only 12 percent from its 3.4/ 5 opener one week earlier. And that 3.4/ 5 translated into 6.42 million viewers with 3-days of DVR usage factored in (which was the CW’s most-watched series premiere ever).

Leading out of episode two of “The Flash” was veteran “Supernatural,” which was on par from the year-ago telecast at a 1.5/ 2 (#5) at 9 p.m.

In series-premiere news, NBC sitcom “Marry Me” (out of “The Voice”) opened with a 5.6/ 9 at 9 p.m. Comparably, this was an improvement of 10 percent from the time period premiere of former occupant “About a Boy” (5.1/ 8 on 3/04/14). And overnight retention for “Marry Me” out of the 8:30 p.m. portion of “The Voice” (8.8/14) was 64 percent. In other words, the lead-in still matters.

Next on NBC was the sophomore season-premiere of comedy “About a Boy” at a 4.2/ 6 at 9:30 p.m., which was on par from the time period premiere of former failed time period occupant “Growing Up Fisher” on March 4. Comparably, retention for “About a Boy” out of “Marry Me” was 75 percent. In other words, “About a Boy” would be stronger if it aired immediately following “The Voice.”

Overall, “The Voice” scored a rock-solid (and second place) 8.3/13 from 8-9 p.m., which will own the hour in the key young adult demos. And drama “Chicago Fire” capped off the evening with a second-place 4.8/ 8 at 10 p.m., which dipped from its year-ago (5.2/ 9 on 10/15/13) and week-ago (5.4/ 9 on Oct. 7) time period averages by 8 and 11 percent, respectively.

Over at CBS, “NCIS” topped the evening, as always, with a 10.8/17 at 8 p.m., which is 11 percent below the 12.2/19 on the year-ago evening. And it led into a dominant 10.5/15 for “NCIS: New Orleans” at 9 p.m., which held 91 percent of the 8:30 p.m. portion of its parent series (11.0/17). “Person of Interest” closed the night for the Eye net on par from one week earlier at a 6.5/11 (which was 19 percent below the 8.0/14 on the year-ago night).

Elsewhere, week three of struggling ABC 8-9 p.m. sitcoms “Selfie” (#4: 2.9/ 5) and “Manhattan Love Story” (#4: 2.3/ 4) showed no signs of improvement, which means that both are vying to become the first new series cancellation of the young television season. Comparably, the pair, on average, declined from year-ago occupant “Marvel’s Agents of SHIELD” (5.0/ 8 on 10/15/13) by a significant 48 percent. And a 3.2/ 5 in the overnights (#3) for relocated “Marvel’s Agents of SHIELD” at 9 p.m. was 36 percent below its year-ago performance at 8 p.m. (and similar to year-ago 9-10 p.m. Tuesday sitcoms “The Goldbergs – 3.7/ 6 – and Trophy Wife – 2.9/ 5).

Also on ABC, episode four of drama “Forever” (#3: 3.4/ 6 at 10 p.m.) dropped by six percent week-to-week (vs. a 3.6/ 6 on Oct. 7). But this was still a marked improvement from a repeat of “Scandal” one year earlier (2.0/ 3 on 10/15/13), which replaced short-lived “Lucky 7.” In other words, the low bar of comparison for “Forever” is a positive.

Fox, meanwhile, continues to sink with its combination of repeats of “The Simpsons” (#5: 1.3/ 2) and “Bob’s Burgers” (#5: 0.9/ 1) from 8-9 p.m. and original installments of “New Girl” (#4: 1.8/ 3) and “The Mindy Project” (#4: 1.7/ 3) from 9-10 p.m. down by 22 percent from last week’s already abysmal overnight average. Maybe opening the evening last fall with sitcom “Dads” was not so bad after all!

Source: Nielsen Media Research data

About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

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Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.