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Ratings News - 18th November 2014

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Today's Early Overnight Ratings

Top 25 Markets - 18-49
Thanks to ED for the Top 20 Numbers

NOTE: Football impacted ABC

Originals 0.8
Jane 0.6
Gotham 2.8
Sleepy 1.7
Voice 3.1
State of Affairs 2.2
Dancing 2.4
Castle 1.8
2 Broke 2.1
Millers 1.2
Scorpion 2.1
NCIS LA 1.4

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.

Can't see the tables? Check out our Troubleshooting Guide

Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Monday Ratings
Respectable Sampling for “State of Affairs” on NBC

Monday 11/17/14

Household
Rating/Share
ABC 8.5/13
NBC 6.9/10
CBS 5.7/ 9
Fox 3.8/ 6
CW 1.0/ 2

-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Monday 11/18/13:
CW: +25, CBS: +24, NBC: +19, ABC: – 7, Fox: -19
———-

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. These overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

-Winners:
“Dancing With the Stars” (ABC), “The Voice” (NBC), “Scorpion” (CBS)

-Honorable Mention:
“Gotham” (Fox), “Castle” (ABC), “NCIS: Los Angeles” (CBS)

-Respectable Start:
“State of Affairs” (NBC)

-Modest but Still an Improvement:
“The Originals” (CW), “Jane the Virgin” (CW)

-Losers:
“The Millers” (CBS)

———-

Ratings Breakdown:
ABC ruled in the Monday overnights as usual, besting No. 2 NBC by 23 percent last night. But the home of “The Voice” will, no doubt, win the evening in adults 18-49 (and all the key young adult demographics).

In series-premiere news, NBC drama “State of Affairs,” headlined by Katherine Heigl, was sampled at a second-place 6.0 rating/10 share in the household overnights at 10 p.m. While that did trail competing “Castle” on ABC (#1: 6.4/10) by six percent, it is a lock for dominance demographically. And the overnight retention for “State of Affairs” out of the 9:30 p.m. portion of lead-in “The Voice” (7.1/11) was solid at 85 percent. “State of Affairs,” in addition, only trailed the week-ago fall season-finale of former time period occupant “The Blacklist” (6.3/10 on Nov. 10) by three-tenths of a rating point (or five percent). And that 6.3 in the overnights for “The Blacklist” translated into 9.75 million viewers and a 2.5 rating/8 share among adults 18-49, based on the Live Plus Same Day data. So, the arrival of “State of Affairs” did – as expected — benefit out of “The Voice.” But, all things considered, this is not what you would call a stellar start.

Comparably, “State of Affairs” opened 25 percent below the series-debut of “The Blacklist” in this hour on 9/23/13 (8.0/13 out of a 9.2/14 for “The Voice”) and 23 percent below the sophomore season premiere of “The Blacklist” on 9/22/14 (7.8/13 out of an 8.5/13 for “The Voice”). And it only beat competing “NCIS: Los Angeles” on CBS (#3: 5.7/ 9) by five percent in the overnights. Given the mountain of promotion, consider this a respectable (albeit non-spectacular) start for “State of Affairs” in the overnights. Now, let’s wait and see what the demos look like.

“The Voice,” meanwhile, scored a consistent 7.4/11 in the overnights from 8-10 p.m., peaking at a 7.6/11 in the 8:30 p.m. half-hour. And it should have no trouble dominating the evening in all the key demos.

In series-finale news, sitcom “The Millers” on CBS earned its cancellation stripes with a fourth-place 4.0/ 6 at 8:30 p.m., which was 25 percent below lead-in “2 Broke Girls” (#2: 5.3/ 8 at 8 p.m.). One year earlier, “2 Broke Girls” also scored a 5.3/ 8 in the time period. Effective on the Eye net on Dec. 8 will be the return of “Mike & Molly” as the replacement for “The Millers” (following a marathon of four repeat episodes of “Mike & Molly” on Dec. 1).

Also on CBS was freshman drama “Scorpion” at a 6.8/10 (#3) from 9-10 p.m., which built from “The Millers” by 70 percent in the overnights and outdelivered the year-ago combination of “Mike & Molly” (5.4/ 8 on 11/18/13) and “Mom” (4.5/ 7) by an average of 37 percent.

Leading into aforementioned “Castle” on ABC, meanwhile, was “Dancing With the Stars” at a dominant 9.5/14 from 8-10 p.m., which was just percent below the 9.9/15 on the year-ago evening.

Elsewhere, “Gotham” (#3t: 4.6/ 7) and “Sleepy Hollow” (#4: 3.0/ 4) on Fox; and “The Originals” (#5: 1.1/ 2) and “Jane the Virgin” (#5: 0.9/ 1) on The CW were at typical overnight levels. “Gotham” remains solid demographically; “Sleepy Hollow” dipped by 35 percent year to year; and both “The Originals” and “Jane the Virgin” are stronger options than year-ago entries “Hart of Dixie” and “Beauty and the Beast.” But quirky “Jane the Virgin” is so much more worthy that a 0.9 rating in the overnighgts.

Source: Nielsen Media Research data


About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

Don't forget to follow our Ratings Only Twitter Account for the latest Ratings News


Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Renew/Cancel
Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.

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