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Ratings News - 23rd October 2014

Today's Early Overnight Ratings

Top 25 Markets - 18-49
Thanks as always to ED for the Top 25 Numbers.

Fox WS 3.7
Arrow 1.1
100 0.6
Survivor 2.3
Criminal Minds 2.2
Stalker 1.3
Middle 2.0
Goldbergs. 2.4
Modern 4.1
Black-ish 2.9
Nashville 1.4
Mysteries of Laura 1.3
SVU 1.8
CPD 1.6

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.

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Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Wednesday Ratings
“The World Series” Picks Up Steam on Fox

Wednesday 10/22/14

Fox 8.2/13
CBS 5.7/ 9
ABC 5.1/ 8
NBC 5.0/ 8
CW 1.6/ 2


-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Thursday 10/24/13:
NBC: +35, ABC: + 4, Fox and The CW: -11 each, CBS: -16


Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. As always, these overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence. Fox, on the flipside, dipped by 49 percent.


“The World Series,” Game 2 (Fox), “Survivor” (CBS), “Modern Family” (ABC), “Black-ish” (ABC)

-Honorable Mention:
“The Middle” (ABC), “The Goldbergs” (ABC)

“Stalker” (CBS)

-Positive Older-Skewing Options:
“The Mysteries of Laura” (NBC), “Law & Order: SVU” (NBC), “Chicago PD” (NBC)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
“The 100” (CW), “Nashville” (ABC)


Ratings Breakdown:
Game two of San Francisco vs. Kansas City on “The World Series” (Royals 7, Giants 2), as expected, led Fox to a Wednesday night overnight victory. The network averaged an estimated 8.9 rating/14 share in households from 8-11 p.m. ET, peaking in the 10 p.m. half-hour at a 10.3/16. Comparably, this was five percent above the 8.5/14 for game one of San Francisco vs. Kansas City on Tuesday (8.5/14). And that game translated into 12.19 million viewers and a 3.4 rating/11 share among adults 18-49, based on the Live + Same Day data, which tied the 2012 Texas-San Francisco match-up as the smallest opening World Series ratings sever.

One year earlier, game one of the St. Louis Cardinals at the Boston Red Sox on “The World Series” averaged a 10.0/17 in the overnights on Fox (on 10/13/13), with game two at a 9.2/15 on 10/24/13. In other words, while San Francisco vs. Kansas City is by no means a powerhouse, it has still lifted struggling Fox (which is obviously hoping for a seven-game series).

In sophomore season-premiere news, CW drama “The 100” opened with a 1.2/ 2 in the overnights at 9 p.m. (#5), which was 20 percent below failed year-ago occupant “The Tomorrow People” (1.5/ 2 on 10/23/13) and 37 percent below the 8:30 p.m. portion of lead-in “Arrow” (1.9/ 3). Last season, “The 100” debuted with a 1.9/ 3 on March 19 (and that translated into 2.73 million viewers and a 0.9/ 3 among adults 18-49, based on the Live + Same Day data).

Overall, “Arrow” on The CW averaged a 2.0/ 3 from 8-9 p.m.

Despite facing “The World Series,” the competing networks were all on par from one week earlier. Veteran “Survivor” on CBS, which took a turn for the better by mixing up the teams, finished second at 8 p.m. with a 5.8/ 9 in the household overnights. And that should translate in the vicinity of a 2.3 rating among adults 18-49. Next was “Criminal Minds” at a third-place 6.3/10 at 9 p.m., which dipped by 16 percent from the 7.5/12 one year earlier, followed by week four of drama “Stalker” at a series-low 4.8/ 8, which was 28 percent below “CSI” one year earlier (6.7/12 on 10/23/13).

One potential option in the near future for CBS might be to shift “Criminal Minds” to Wednesday at 10 p.m. out of a new drama option at 9 p.m. How about “CSI: Cyber,” CBS, which will be lost on Sunday?

“Modern Family,” of course, was the Wednesday standout on ABC with a 7.2/11 (#2) at 9 p.m. And it led into full-season renewed freshman “Black-ish” at a 5.7/ 9 (#3) at 9:30 p.m., which was 12 percent above the 5.1/ 8 one week earlier. Comparably, overnight retention for “Black-ish” out of “Modern Family” of 79 percent was better than the 55 percent for “Super Fun Night” out of “Modern Family” on the year-ago evening.

Earlier in the evening on ABC was “The Middle” at a consistent 5.0/ 8 at 8 p.m. (#4), followed by compatible “The Goldbergs” at a 4.6/ 7 (#4) at 8:30 p.m. Quiet “Nashville” capped off the night with a fourth-place 3.9/ 7 at 10 p.m., which was equal to one year earlier and could ultimately land a fourth season renewal if ABC is in need of more episodes for off-network.

Over at NBC, older-skewing “The Mysteries of Laura” scored a third-place 5.5/ 9 at 8 p.m., which was a hefty 49 percent above former time period occupant “Revolution” on the year-ago evening (3.7/ 6 on 10/23/13). And the improved lead-in support remains beneficial to veteran lead-out “Law & Order: SVU” (#4: 5.0/ 8 at 9 p.m.), which rose by 16 percent year-to-year. Sophomore “Chicago PD” was flat from one week earlier at a 4.6/ 8 (#3) at 10 p.m., which was 44 percent above the revival of failed year-ago occupant “Ironside” (3.2/ 6 on 10/23/13). Chances are NBC will be announcing a full season episode order for “The Mysteries of Laura” at any moment.

Source: Nielsen Media Research data

About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

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Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.