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Ratings News - 16th October 2014


Today's Early Overnight Ratings

Top 25 Markets 18-49 Demo
We do have the TOP 25 Market Numbers thanks as always to Ed!

Arrow 1.0
Flash (R) 0.6
Hell's Kitchen 1.5
Red Band 1.0
Survivor 2.1
Criminal Minds 2.4
Stalker 1.5
Mysteries of Laura 1.2
SVU 1.8
Chicago PD 1.6
Toy Story (R) 1.9
Great Pumpkin (R) 2.0
Modern Family 4.1
Black-ish 2.8
Nashville 1.5


Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.

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Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Wednesday Ratings
CBS First With Only 45 Markets Reported

Note: The following results are based on only 45 markets. Excluded are Los Angeles, Dallas, Houston, Miami, San Diego, Baltimore, Tampa, Austin, San Antonio, Fort Myers and West Palm Beach.

Wednesday 10/15/14

Household
Rating/Share
CBS 6.3/10
NBC 5.3/ 9
ABC 4.6/ 7
Fox 2.7/ 4
CW 1.6/ 3

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Due to the 11 markets not reported, the year-to-year overnight comparisons are excluded.

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Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. As always, these overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence. Fox, on the flipside, dipped by 49 percent.

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-Winners:
“Survivor” (CBS), “The Mysteries of Laura” (NBC), “Modern Family” (ABC), “Criminal Minds” (CBS)

-Respectable:
“Black-ish” (ABC), “Law & Order: SVU” (NBC), “Chicago PD” (NBC)

-Fading:
Hell’s Kitchen” (Fox)

-Modest:
“Nashville” (ABC)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
“Red Band Society” (Fox)

———-

Ratings Breakdown:
Based on 45 of the 56-metered markets (see above for the exclusions), CBS led this third Wednesday of the new TV season in the household overnights. Second-place NBC remained the most improved network on Wednesday, but the audience skew is older and the race for dominance among adults 18-49 (and other key young adult demos) will fall between ABC and CBS. Fox, meanwhile, has another night in need of a complete overhaul.

Episode five of “The Mysteries of Laura” on NBC, which is a shoo-in for a full season renewal, inched past CBS’ veteran “Survivor” for first in the 8 p.m. hour with a 6.1 rating/10 share (versus a 6.0/10 for “Survivor”). Comparatively, “The Mysteries of Laura” was 65 percent above the year-ago airing of sophomore drama “Revolution” (3.7/ 6 on 10/16/13). And, while this will not resonate among adults 18-49, from a household overnight perspective “The Mysteries of Laura” is indeed a “winner.”

As for “Survivor,” that was quite a satisfying blindside, wasn’t it?

Next on CBS was long-running “Criminal Minds” (#1: 7.4/12), which remains a competitive force in the 9 p.m. hour, followed by week three of drama “Stalker” at a first-place 5.5/ 9 at 10 p.m. One week earlier, “Stalker” averaged a 5.2/ 9 in the full 56-metered markets, which is a slight improvement. But year-ago occupant “CSI” was still stronger at a 6.1/11. While “Stalker” is by no means a bust, it is not necessarily the type of crime solver that could last on CBS for years.

With stronger lead-in support, season 16 of NBC’s “Law & Order: SVU” (yes…season 16!) finished third with a 5.1/ 8 in the household overnights from 9-10 p.m., which was on par from one year earlier. Sophomore “Chicago PD” capped off the night with a compatible 4.8/ 8 (#2) at 10 p.m., which was 37 percent above the 3.5/ 6 for the failed revival of “Ironside” one year earlier.

ABC’s top draw, of course, was the always dependable “Modern Family” at a 7.0/11 at 9 p.m., which will win the half-hour with ease in all the key demos. Next was week four of “Black-ish” at a 5.1/ 8 at 9:30 p.m. (#2t), which slipped by 11 percent from the 5.7/ 9 in the overnights last week (again based on all 56-markets). Regardless of the slippage, full-season-renewed “Black-ish” was 19 percent above the 4.3/ 7 for failed year-ago occupant “Super Fun Night” one year earlier.

In place of regularly scheduled “The Middle” and “The Goldbergs” from 8-9 p.m. were encore telecasts of animated “The Story of Terror” (#3: 3.9/ 6) and “It’s the Great Pumpkin, Charlie Brown” (#3: 3.8/ 6) from 8-9 p.m. And capping off the night on ABC was “Nashville” at a typical last-place 3.9/ 7 at 10 p.m., which was on par from one year earlier.

Elsewhere, struggling Fox could not compete with the combination of “Hell’s Kitchen” (#4: 3.1/ 5) and episode five of “Red Band Society” (#4: 2.4/ 4), which were both equal to one week earlier. And “Arrow” on The CW opened the evening with a 1.9 in the overnights at 8 p.m. (#5), followed by a repeat of the second episode of “The Flash” at a 1.4/ 3 (#5). One year earlier, failed CW drama “The Tomorrow People” scored a 1.7/ 3 at 9 p.m.

Source: Nielsen Media Research data


About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

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Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Renew/Cancel
Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.

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