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Ratings News - 30th September 2014


Today's Early Overnight Ratings

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

NOTE: ABC Had some pre-emptions last night so expect some adjustments in the finals later tonight

Can't see the tables? Check out our Troubleshooting Guide

Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Monday Ratings
Dramas “Gotham” and “Scorpion” Hold Up Well in Week Two

Monday 9/29/14
Note: The New England Patriots/Kansas City Chiefs football match-up on ESPN aired on ABC affiliates in Boston and Kansas City. All individual program results for ABC are approximate.

Household
Rating/Share
ABC 8.1/12
CBS 8.0/12
NBC 8.0/12
Fox 4.3/ 6
CW 0.6/ 1

-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Monday 9/30/13:
CBS: +67, ABC and NBC: – 6 each, Fox: -14, CW: -33
———-

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. As always, these overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

-Winners:
“The Big Bang Theory” (CBS), “The Voice” (NBC), “Dancing With the Stars” (ABC), “Gotham” (Fox), “Scorpion” (CBS), “Castle” (ABC), “The Blacklist” (NBC)

-Noticeable Slippage:
“Sleepy Hollow” (Fox)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
“The iHeartradio Music Festival” (CW)

———-

Ratings Breakdown:
The Big 3 were neck-and-neck for overnight household dominance, with ABC (which included the New England/Kansas City football match-up pre-empting its regularly scheduled line-up in Boston and Kansas City) one-tenth of a household rating point ahead of both CBS and NBC. But the home of “The Voice” and “The Blacklist,” NBC, is poised for victory in adults 18-49 (and the other key young adult demos). And CBS is the most improved.

“The Big Bang Theory” on CBS topped the evening, with a 10.8 rating/16 share in the household overnights at 8 p.m. And it led into an encore telecast of “Big Bang” at a third-place 7.8.11 at 8:30 p.m.

Very promising for CBS was episode two of drama “Scorpion” at an 8.7/13 from 9-10 p.m. (#2t), which was just two-tenths of a rating point (or two percent) below last week’s 8.9/13 debut (which translated into 13.83 million viewers and a 3.2 rating/9 share among adults 18-49, based on the Live Plus Same Day data). “Scorpion” built from the “Big Bang Theory” encore lead-in by 12 percent (versus dropping by 20 percent last week from the 11.1/17 for an original edition at 8:30 p.m.). “Scorpion” also increased from year-ago sitcoms “2 Broke Girls” (5.2/ 8 on 9/30/13) and “Mom” (4.9/ 7) by an average of 72 percent. And positive DVR usage based on the Live + 3 Day data last week (+4.12 million viewers and 1.4 rating points in adults 18-49) means that breaking up the perennial two-hour Monday sitcom block might not have been such a bad idea after all. Note to BH…keep smiling!

In season-premiere news, CBS’ “NCIS: Los Angeles” opened season six with a third-place 6.0/10 in the overnights at 10 p.m., which was 29 percent below the 9:30 p.m. portion of lead-in “Scorpion” (8.5/13). And “NCIS: Los Angeles” trailed its year-ago season-opener (9.8/15 on Tuesday 9/24/13 out of “NCIS”) by 39 percent. But this was still 46 percent above failed year-ago occupant “Hostages” (4.1/ 7), and there is every reason to believe “NCIS: Los Angeles” will have an advantage in the young demos opposite “Castle” on ABC.

“Castle” opened its seventh season with an approximate (and first place) 7.1/12 at 10 p.m., which held 82 percent of the 9:30 p.m. portion of lead-in “Dancing With the Stars” (8.7/13). And “Castle” beat competing “The Blacklist” on NBC (6.8/11) and aforementioned “NCIS: Los Angeles” on CBS (6.0/10) by 4 percent and 18 percent, respectively. The year-ago season-opener was a 7.4/12 on 9/24/13. But “The Blacklist” will have the advantage demographically, of course. And “Castle’s” overnight rating could be inflated due to the two markets airing football.

Earlier in the evening on ABC was “Dancing With the Stars” at an estimated 8.5/13 in the overnights from 8-10 p.m., which was an approximate nine percent below the 9.3/14 one year earlier. Remember, those two ABC affiliates carrying football, Boston and Kansas City, are included.

Over at NBC, two hours of “The Voice” was successfully on the overnight map with an 8.6/13 from 8-10 p.m., peaking at a first-place 8.9/13 at 9:30 p.m. Year-to-year, “The Voice” dipped by only three percent (vs. an 8.9/13 on 9/30/13). And it led into aforementioned demo dominant “The Blacklist” at a second-place 6.8/11 at 10 p.m., which opposite the season premieres on ABC and CBS dipped by 13 percent from the 7.8/13 season-opener one week earlier. Regardless, the 10 p.m. hour last night does prove there is room for three very different dramas.

In other episode two news, Fox drama “Gotham” maintained 93 percent of its week-ago overnight debut with a 5.3/ 8 (#4) from 8-9 p.m. Comparably, this is 10 percent above year-ago occupant “Bones” (4.8/ 7 on 9/30/13). And an increase of 1.8 rating points among adults 18-49 last week (to a 5.0 rating, based on the Live + 3 Day data) means “Gotham” could very well be the demographic hit the network was hoping for. Two episodes in and “Gotham” looks like a keeper.

Far less impressive on Fox was sophomore lead-out “Sleepy Hollow” at a 3.4/ 5 in the overnights from 9-10 p.m., which was down by 11 percent from its already diluted season-opener one week earlier (3.8/ 6 on Sept. 22) and down by 35 percent from the 5.2/ 8 on the year-ago evening.

Capping off the evening (and still hiding from the early season competition) was CW special, “The iHeartradio Music Festival” at a mere 0.6/ 1 in the overnights from 8-10 p.m.

Source: Nielsen Media Research data


About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

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Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Renew/Cancel
Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.

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