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Ratings News - 5th March 2015

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Today's Early Overnight Ratings

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.


Last Week Ratings

If you would like to see last weeks ratings for the same day so that you can compare, click this link.

Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Tuesday Ratings
More Growth for Fox Mega-Hit “Empire”

Wednesday 3/04/15

Household
Rating/Share
Fox 8.1/13
NBC 5.0/ 8
CBS 6.1/10
ABC 4.6/ 7
CW 1.0/ 2

-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Wednesday 3/05/14
NBC: +28, Fox: +16, ABC: +10, CBS: – 5, CW: -33

———-

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. These overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

-Winners:
“Survivor” (CBS), “The Goldbergs” (ABC), “The Voice” (NBC), “American Idol” (Fox), “Empire” (Fox), “Modern Family” (ABC)

-Honorable Mention:
“The Middle” (ABC), “Criminal Minds” (CBS)

-Respectable Sampling:
“CSI” Cyber” (CBS)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
“Nashville” (ABC)

———-

Ratings Breakdown:
The ongoing juggernaut on Fox called “Empire” scored what could be an historical record with its eighth consecutive week of overnight household growth. It topped the night at a 9.6 rating/15 share from 9-10 p.m. Comparably, this was 33 percent above the second half of “American Idol” on the year-ago evening (7.2/11 on 3/05/14). It was four percent above the 9.2/14 last week. And it built from the 8:30 p.m. portion of lead-in “Idol” (6.9/11) by 39 percent. Keep in mind that the 9.2 rating in the overnights last week translated into 13.90 million viewers and a 5.4 rating/15 share in adults 18-49, based on the Live Plus Same Day data.

Eight-week overnight track for “Empire”: 6.8/10 – 7.3/11 – 7.6/12 – 7.9/12 – 8.0/12 – 8.2/13 – 8.8/13 – 9.2/14 – 9.6/15. While “NCIS: New Orleans” on CBS may be the most-watched new primetime series this season, “Empire” is the breakout success.

Aforementioned “Empire” lead-in “American Idol,” meanwhile, scored a dominant 6.6/10 in the overnights from 8-9 p.m., which was seven percent below the 7.1/11 one week earlier.

In series-premiere news, “CSI: Cyber” on CBS led the Wednesday 10 p.m. hour with a 6.4/11 in the household overnights. Comparably, this was seven percent above the series-premiere of former time period occupant “Stalker” on 10/01/14 (6.0/10). The overnight retention out of the 9:30 p.m. portion of lead-in “Criminal Minds” (6.5/10) was 98 percent. And the household rating at 10:30 p.m. was consistent at a 6.4 – all good things. But, given the mountain of promotion, initial sampling for “CSI: Cyber” really could have been larger (and the expected the audience is expected to mirror 50+ driven “Criminal Minds”).

Earlier in the evening on CBS, episode two of this new edition of “Survivor” was consistent from one week earlier at a third-place 5.5/ 9 in the household overnights from 8-9 p.m. And that translated into a solid 2.4 rating/7 share in adults 18-49, based in the Live Plus Same Day data last week. But the first half of a clips edition of NBC’s competing “The Voice” (5.7/ 9) actually had a slight advantage. We’ll see what the demos look like.

“Criminal Minds” on CBS at 9 p.m., meanwhile, scored a comfortable 6.3/10 from 9-10 p.m., which opposite “Empire” on Fox dropped by 10 percent year-to-year.

Over at ABC, overnight results were virtually flat from one week earlier care of “The Middle” (#4: 5.3/ 9), “The Goldbergs” (#4: 4.9/ 8), “Modern Family” (#3: 6.1/ 9), “black-ish” (#4: 4.3/ 7) and three year-old “Nashville” (#2: 3.6/ 6). And while “The Goldbergs” did dip from “The Middle,” these almost identical overnights last week translated into a 2.5 rating/8 share in adults 18-49 for “The Goldbergs” out of a 2.0/ 7 for “The Middle.” That said, ABC could very easily move “The Goldbergs” into the Wednesday 8 p.m. anchor half-hour next season if it wants to utilize “The Middle” elsewhere (or not issue a seventh season renewal).

Elsewhere, the aforementioned two-hour “The Voice” clips show resonated with a 5.7/ 9 from 8-10 p.m., which is certainly a “winner” given this was more or less a repeat. And it led into an encore telecast of “Chicago PD” at a 3.5/ 6 at 10 p.m. (#3), which was just one-tenth of a rating point below competing “Nashville” on ABC.

The CW capped off the night with a repeat of “Arrow” (#5: 0.9/ 1) and an original installment of “The 100” (#5: 1.0/ 2), which managed to build by one-tenth of a rating point (or 10 percent).

Source: Nielsen Media Research data


About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above (We also where possible now post the 18-34 and 25-54 Demo Numbers).

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

Don't forget to follow our Ratings Only Twitter Account for the latest Ratings News

Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Renew/Cancel
Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.

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