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Today's Early Overnight Ratings

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)



Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Monday 10/14/13 Metered Markets
NBC Poised for Solid Young Adult Demo Leadership

Household
Rating/Share
ABC 8.4/13
NBC 8.4/13
Fox 4.9/ 7
CBS 4.7/ 7
CW 0.9/ 1

———-

-Percent Change from the Year-Ago Evening – Monday 10/15/12:
NBC and Fox: +17 each, CW: +12, ABC: -12, CBS: -16

———-

-Winners:
“The Voice” (NBC), “Sleepy Hollow” (Fox), “The Blacklist” (NBC), “Castle” (ABC)

-Honorable Mention:
“How I Met Your Mother” (CBS), “2 Broke Girls” (CBS), “Bones” (Fox), “The Big Bang Theory” R (CBS)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
“Hart of Dixie” (CW), “Beauty and the Beast” (CW), “Hostages” (CBS)

———-

-Ratings Breakdown:
ABC and NBC tied for overnight Monday dominance, each with a hefty 3.5 household rating point advantage over third-place Fox. But the home of “The Voice,” NBC, will hold a solid advantage in adults 18-49 (and other key young demos), while Fox is poised for second place. While CBS’ revamped sitcom block experienced minor growth thanks to “2 Broke Girls,” now at 8:30 p.m. ET, into an encore of “The Big Bang Theory” at 9 p.m. it was not enough to lift it out of fourth place for the evening in the household overnights.

It was neck-and-neck in the overnights between “Dancing With the Stars” versus “The Voice” from 8-10 p.m., with a 9.0 rating/14 share for “Dancing With the Stars” just one-tenth of a rating point (or one percent) above the 8.9/14 for “The Voice.” Year-to-year, however, “Dancing With the Stars” dipped by 13 percent (versus a 10.4/16 on 10/15/12), while “The Voice” built by 10 percent (versus an 8.1/12). Regardless, both reality/competitions remain highly competitive options with two very different audiences and the absence of the live “Dancing With the Stars” results show on Tuesday only makes this Monday edition stronger creatively.

Week four of drama “The Blacklist” on NBC won the 10 p.m. hour with a 7.3/12 in the overnights, which was 38 percent above year-ago occupant “Revolution” (5.3/ 9). Retention for “The Blacklist” out of the 9:30 p.m. portion of “The Voice” (9.5/14) was respectable at 77 percent.

Second at 10 p.m. was healthy “Castle” on ABC at a 7.2/12, followed by struggling “Hostages” on CBS, which sunk to a series-low 3.6/ 6. Comparably, “Hostages” was 39 percent below “Hawaii Five-O” on the year-ago evening (5.9/10). Four week overnight track for “Hostages”: 5.1/ 9 – 4.1/ 7 – 3.8/ 6 – 3.6/ 6.

Earlier in the evening on CBS, “2 Broke Girls” moved back to 8:30 p.m. with a third-place 5.2/ 8, which was 33 percent above the second, and final, episode of canceled “We Are Men” last week (3.9/ 6 on Oct. 7) and 27 percent above failed year-ago time period occupant “Partners” (4.1/ 6 on 10/15/12). Retention for “2 Broke Girls” out of “How I Met Your Mother” (#3: 5.5/ 9 at 8 p.m.) was also solid at 95 percent.

Returning “Mike & Molly” will inherit the Monday 9 p.m. half-hour on the Eye net effective on November 4. But airing in its place last night (and next week as well) was an encore of “The Big Bang Theory” at a third-place 5.6/ 8. Although that was 10 percent above “2 Broke Girls” last week (5.1/ 8 on Oct. 7), week four of lead-out “Mom” was flat at a 4.9/ 7 (#3) at 9:30 p.m., which was 18 percent below year-ago occupant “Mike & Molly” (6.0/ 9 on 10/15/12). Four-week overnight track for “Mom”: 5.5/ 8 – 4.9/ 7 – 4.9/ 7 – 4.9/ 7.

Consistent, meanwhile, was the observation on Fox with the successful 8-10 p.m. pairing of dramas “Bones” (#4: 4.8/ 7) and “Sleepy Hollow” (#4: 4.9/ 7) on par with one week earlier. And that translated into a 2.1 rating/6 share among adults 18-49 for “Bones” and a 2.8/ 7 in the demo for “Sleepy Hollow,” based on the live plus same day data.

The CW capped off this fourth Monday of the new TV season with episode two of the new seasons of newly paired “Hart of Dixie” (#5: 1.1/ 2) and “Beauty and the Beast” (#5: 0.7/ 1), which just cannot compete. One year earlier, “Beauty and the Beast” scored a 1.5/ 2 in the Thursday 9 p.m. hour (out of “The Vampire Diaries”) on 10/18/12.

Source: Nielsen Media Research data

Source: Marc Berman@tvmediainsights

About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below)

Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Renew/Cancel
Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.

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