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The SpoilerTV Cancellation Predictor Table 2011/12 *Final Table Posted*

Update: 13th May Here is the final full table. I think we did pretty well again.

We'll be back with a new Cancellation Predictor Table for 2012/13 later in the year.

Hope you enjoyed this!


Welcome to this years SpoilerTV Cancellation Predictor.

Last year each week we updated our data (see the notes below about how we get our data) in order to see if we could predict which show(s) would be renewed or cancelled. As you can see from last years summary, we did pretty well, with the exception of Chuck, Fringe, Community, Criminal Minds: Suspect Behaviour and The Chicago Code our table was pretty accurate.


This index is by no means a 100% accurate guide about if your show is safe or in danger and should be seen as a bit of FUN.

NOTE: That until we have at least 3-4 weeks of data for each show that this table is not going to be very accurate and it will vary a lot each update. Once we have 3-4 weeks of data we'll post our predictions for the Season ahead and we can then track how we are doing. We'll try to update the full Cancellation Table every couple of days as we get new data in.

Please let us know if there are any shows missing (only new and returning shows from ABC/FOX/CW/CBS/NBC will be included) and if there are any of the shows below that have already been renewed etc and we'll update the color coding. I did this in a hurry so there may be a few omissions. I'll give it a big tidy as we go on and get more data in. You can access this page via the Features Menu or by bookmarking this page.

(Click to Enlarge - Press CTRL-F5 on the image page to get the latest)

As of 13th May 2012

Notes:
1) The Higher the Index Rating the more likely a show is to get cancelled, lower numbers = safety.
2) This is an ongoing exercise that I hope to refine each week to make the index more accurate.
3) Only the major networks are included currently ie ABC/FOX/CW/CBS/NBC.
4) This is a weekly update of all the shows using our own formula based on the viewing numbers and + 7 Numbers. These 2 factors are the main weighting of the Index number, however we also factor in things such as the Network they are on (eg CW shows get lower numbers), the day of week they air (eg Fridays are lower numbers), DVR Numbers and +7 numbers,DVD/Blu-Ray Sales,Production Costs, Cast Contracts/Availability, Syndication, online popularity such as streamed views and Torrents etc.
5) Shows still might not get renewed despite good numbers due eg a show coming to an end of run eg Chuck is in it's finale season no matter what the ratings are etc or could be due to key cast wanting to leave after their contracts have expirted. An example might be Supernatural if it’s two leads, Jared and Jensen wanted out, would Supernatural be renewed even if it had good numbers but no leads for the new season? etc
6) Shows that have been renewed for a New Season are marked in Blue
7) Shows with an Index over 3.00 are likely to be cancelled, 2.50-2.99 - in danger and less that 2.50 safe. Although shows nearer 2.50 are more in danger than a show with a lower index.

If you have any questions/suggestions, please don't hesitate in asking in the comments below.

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