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The fact "Forever" is not in the list is encouraging, I'm really afraid it's going to flop and I'm not ready for another New Amsterdam.
My guess is the first casualty will be a show on ABC: they have a tendency to cancel shows after two episodes and some of their new comedies don't look like they can work.
The CW is likely to let all shows air at least 13 episodes (they really have a blurry line between good and bad ratings).
The McCarthys looks stupid and it's on CBS, so it's probably going to get renewed. Mulaney will flop, same with Cristela and The Mysteries of Laura. Bad Judge, Fresh off the Boat look funny, and probably are going to be on the bubble. Jane the Virgin looks, in my opinion, from the trailer best, many predict it will flop, same happened last year to Reign, but it held decent, then again its on Mondays. So I put this and Selfie on the unpredictable list.
I may be wrong but isn't it usually dramas that get cancelled first? Comedies seem to stick around a bit longer before they are pulled. I think it would be something like Forever on ABC or The Mysteries of Laura.
I was just thinking the same thing. The trend is that dramas (Made in Jersey, Lucky 7) are pulled first, though comedies are not exceptions (We Are Men last year was cancelled after two episodes, but it was not the first cancelation).
There's a lot of shows missing that also premiere in the fall. Jane the Virgin is unlikely to be the first, as The CW has their premieres in October and it must get really bad numbers to be canceled. I think it's either gonna be The Mysteries of Laura (looks bad and has a bad time slot) or Forever (ABC's death slot strikes again). NBC seems to have a bit more patience than ABC (Ironside was canceled after three episodes, Lucky 7 after two). CBS also has little patience but I don't see any new show doing so bad that it gets canceled right away (though The McCarthys is a possibility). Ultimately I believe The Mysteries of Laura will be the first one.
Forever is unlikely candidate for early cancelation due to the fact that the rights for this show were acquired by CTV not so long ago. Even if the ratings are abysmal, ABC is still likely to order full season of this show. Second of all - seems like ABC wants to find good procedural replacement for Castle. Plus, the show doesn't have support of DWTS, so I guess ABC will be very happy if it garners the same numbers as Castle.
I completely agree on The McCarthy's, I didn't really like the trailer, and it isn't ground breaking comedy same with Mulaney, which wasn't great either. Everything you've written is what I as thinking :)
The McCarthys and JtV premiere in October, so they won't be it. FotB isn't even the fall schedule. Among the choices, Laura will probably be one of the first shows to get pulled.
The Mysteries of Laura. I can see it being pulled after 2 or 3 episodes. Unless Jane The Virgin gets a 0.2 in the first episode I can't see The CW canceling it before it finishes the 13 episode run.
The Mysteries of Laura probably; Jane The Virgin will probably underperform, but I think it will be an Emily Owens and The CW will wait until midseason to replace it with wither iZombie or The Messengers
The exact dates have not been announced yet, but for the past two years (2012 and 2013) the CW premiered their shows in October. So it's very likely that they will do it again this year.
There's absolutely no way that Mulaley will get axed quickly. FOX had ordered 6 episodes months ago and then ordered 10 more episodes in May, so that's 16 episodes, and it airs between The Simpsons and Family Guy : it will get good enough ratings to stick around until 2015 at least. I have faith in Mulaley, even if I dislike multicamera sitcoms : the guy is good, there's Martin Short (he's good too) and Nasim Pedrad (she's good too... and in that way too).
Cristela will be on Fridays, expectations are low on that night, and it's the only multicamera sitcom (cheap) other than its companion Last Man Standing, thus I can see ABC sticking with it for 13 episodes and not yank it out early (it's always unpleasant when you have to pull out early).
The perfect candidate for cancellation is Mysteries of Laura : even if Debra Messing has some 'clout' at NBC (though Smash ended on Saturdays I think, all 15 episodes did air), but it's on Wednesdays at 8pm, it's a tough timeslot, so NBC will have no problem putting a rerun of SVU (airing originals at 9pm) or Chicago Whatever in its place.
I would have said Forever too, but most shows airing in that slot have been left on the air (666 Park Avenue didn't aired only 9 of its 13 episodes, but that's still 9-10 weeks on the air, so it wasn't close from being the first to get cancelled, and two other shows that bombed stayed on the air too because ABC didn't have anything to put there, Revenge probably doesn't repeat well enough and OUaT is an 8pm show).
Forever. It's stuck on Tuesday, has an incompatible lead-in, and must face Chicago Fire and POI; it'll get the table scraps.
As for the ones up there, Laura must be a self-starter, has negative buzz with the SpoilerTV crew and with Emerald City, Oddysey, Aquarius, and maybe even some comedies willing to take its place, it's most likely dunzo. But it will probably get a bigger push in summer being the only new drama for NBC in the early fall. I don't care about CW, so no comment on Jane the Virgin. Cristela has a compatible lead-in, and it apparently tested through the roof, so it clearly has some sort of an audience. Selfie was predicted doomed since Day 1, but I have my own say in this; the show has Kapnek behind it, and Mom was saved due to the Chuck Lorre factor, and if MLS loses people from Selfie, that'll go first. So Selfie will be this season's Trophy Wife. Mulaney has the highest-rated show on Fox as a lead-in...that speaks for itself. Bad Judge is a toss-up. It has no comedy competition for 5 weeks, so it could earn some viewers, but the show itself has a much weaker lead-in than Voice, and this is NBC Thursday, so it's something to stay tuned for. And McCarthys doesn't have much life in it either. It's got to do extremely well and Scorpion has to fail for it to not be replaced by Mike and Molly. Those are my two cents.
You're mostly right, the shows pulled earlier (Made in Jersey, Lucky 7, Ironside, Lone Star) recently were dramas.
CBS is the only that pulls comedies (Partners, How to Be a Gentleman, We Are Men), even though NBC dropped Welcome to The Family after 3 episodes last season.
That's true, but CBS lame shows get renewed because of their timeslots.
2 Broke Girls aired after a strong 2.5 Men Season (when the show came back huge due to Asthon Kutcher taking the lead role) and The Millers is a timeslot hit created by TBBT.
The McCarthys seems one of those comedies they pull after six episodes like Partners and We Are Men.
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The fact "Forever" is not in the list is encouraging, I'm really afraid it's going to flop and I'm not ready for another New Amsterdam.
ReplyDeleteMy guess is the first casualty will be a show on ABC: they have a tendency to cancel shows after two episodes and some of their new comedies don't look like they can work.
The CW is likely to let all shows air at least 13 episodes (they really have a blurry line between good and bad ratings).
The McCarthys looks stupid and it's on CBS, so it's probably going to get renewed.
ReplyDeleteMulaney will flop, same with Cristela and The Mysteries of Laura.
Bad Judge, Fresh off the Boat look funny, and probably are going to be on the bubble.
Jane the Virgin looks, in my opinion, from the trailer best, many predict it will flop, same happened last year to Reign, but it held decent, then again its on Mondays. So I put this and Selfie on the unpredictable list.
I may be wrong but isn't it usually dramas that get cancelled first? Comedies seem to stick around a bit longer before they are pulled. I think it would be something like Forever on ABC or The Mysteries of Laura.
ReplyDeleteIt's between Cristella, Jane the Virgin (though the CW usually let's shows finish there 13 episode season), The Mysteries of Laura or Mulaney.
ReplyDelete99% Cristela.
ReplyDeleteI was just thinking the same thing. The trend is that dramas (Made in Jersey, Lucky 7) are pulled first, though comedies are not exceptions (We Are Men last year was cancelled after two episodes, but it was not the first cancelation).
ReplyDeleteThere's a lot of shows missing that also premiere in the fall. Jane the Virgin is unlikely to be the first, as The CW has their premieres in October and it must get really bad numbers to be canceled. I think it's either gonna be The Mysteries of Laura (looks bad and has a bad time slot) or Forever (ABC's death slot strikes again). NBC seems to have a bit more patience than ABC (Ironside was canceled after three episodes, Lucky 7 after two). CBS also has little patience but I don't see any new show doing so bad that it gets canceled right away (though The McCarthys is a possibility). Ultimately I believe The Mysteries of Laura will be the first one.
ReplyDeleteForever is unlikely candidate for early cancelation due to the fact that the rights for this show were acquired by CTV not so long ago. Even if the ratings are abysmal, ABC is still likely to order full season of this show. Second of all - seems like ABC wants to find good procedural replacement for Castle. Plus, the show doesn't have support of DWTS, so I guess ABC will be very happy if it garners the same numbers as Castle.
ReplyDeleteI completely agree on The McCarthy's, I didn't really like the trailer, and it isn't ground breaking comedy same with Mulaney, which wasn't great either. Everything you've written is what I as thinking :)
ReplyDeleteFresh Off The Boat is not even on the fall schedule, how could it be the first show cancelled ? Lol
ReplyDeleteI haven't even decided yet.
ReplyDeleteThat's reassuring! :)
ReplyDeleteThe McCarthys and JtV premiere in October, so they won't be it. FotB isn't even the fall schedule.
ReplyDeleteAmong the choices, Laura will probably be one of the first shows to get pulled.
Yeah, I am also thinking it could be Forever. The pilot was decent, but it wasn't enough for me to return for the second episode.
ReplyDeleteJane the Virgin awful, Cristela looks awful, The McCarthys looks dreadful and full of cliches.
ReplyDeleteI thought so, I remembered Lucky 7 but couldn't think of the previous season first cancellation, ahh Made in Jersey!
ReplyDeleteIts time slot doesn't help either.
ReplyDeleteThe Mysteries of Laura. I can see it being pulled after 2 or 3 episodes. Unless Jane The Virgin gets a 0.2 in the first episode I can't see The CW canceling it before it finishes the 13 episode run.
ReplyDeleteThe Mysteries of Laura probably; Jane The Virgin will probably underperform, but I think it will be an Emily Owens and The CW will wait until midseason to replace it with wither iZombie or The Messengers
ReplyDeleteMy votes go to Cristela and Bad Judge.
ReplyDeleteCristela, Mulaney, The McCarthys
ReplyDeleteDo you know the exact dates for the CW schedule in October? I was hoping the
ReplyDeleteThe exact dates have not been announced yet, but for the past two years (2012 and 2013) the CW premiered their shows in October. So it's very likely that they will do it again this year.
ReplyDeleteJane the Virgin and Bad Judge.
ReplyDeleteThere's absolutely no way that Mulaley will get axed quickly. FOX had ordered 6 episodes months ago and then ordered 10 more episodes in May, so that's 16 episodes, and it airs between The Simpsons and Family Guy : it will get good enough ratings to stick around until 2015 at least. I have faith in Mulaley, even if I dislike multicamera sitcoms : the guy is good, there's Martin Short (he's good too) and Nasim Pedrad (she's good too... and in that way too).
ReplyDeleteCristela will be on Fridays, expectations are low on that night, and it's the only multicamera sitcom (cheap) other than its companion Last Man Standing, thus I can see ABC sticking with it for 13 episodes and not yank it out early (it's always unpleasant when you have to pull out early).
The perfect candidate for cancellation is Mysteries of Laura : even if Debra Messing has some 'clout' at NBC (though Smash ended on Saturdays I think, all 15 episodes did air), but it's on Wednesdays at 8pm, it's a tough timeslot, so NBC will have no problem putting a rerun of SVU (airing originals at 9pm) or Chicago Whatever in its place.
I would have said Forever too, but most shows airing in that slot have been left on the air (666 Park Avenue didn't aired only 9 of its 13 episodes, but that's still 9-10 weeks on the air, so it wasn't close from being the first to get cancelled, and two other shows that bombed stayed on the air too because ABC didn't have anything to put there, Revenge probably doesn't repeat well enough and OUaT is an 8pm show).
I feel like Arrow will return on Oct 8th. Idk why, but that's my guess. Lol it would be awesome if I'm right. My Spidey senses are tingling. = p
ReplyDeleteUntil we know the premiere dates of all these shows there's not much point in guessing. Also, never bet on The CW to cancel anything first.
ReplyDeleteMysteries of Laura, Selfie and Fresh off the Boat : No lead ins + shows don't look that good
ReplyDeletei will laugh so hard if JTV gets a full order season, everyone will be like WTF O.O
ReplyDeleteWait, Lucky 7 was a drama? Shows how much I was paying attention....
ReplyDeletewithout any shred of doubt,Mysteries of laura.......no mysteries here regarding whether it will get cancelled or not!!
ReplyDeleteForever. It's stuck on Tuesday, has an incompatible lead-in, and must face Chicago Fire and POI; it'll get the table scraps.
ReplyDeleteAs for the ones up there, Laura must be a self-starter, has negative buzz with the SpoilerTV crew and with Emerald City, Oddysey, Aquarius, and maybe even some comedies willing to take its place, it's most likely dunzo. But it will probably get a bigger push in summer being the only new drama for NBC in the early fall. I don't care about CW, so no comment on Jane the Virgin. Cristela has a compatible lead-in, and it apparently tested through the roof, so it clearly has some sort of an audience. Selfie was predicted doomed since Day 1, but I have my own say in this; the show has Kapnek behind it, and Mom was saved due to the Chuck Lorre factor, and if MLS loses people from Selfie, that'll go first. So Selfie will be this season's Trophy Wife. Mulaney has the highest-rated show on Fox as a lead-in...that speaks for itself. Bad Judge is a toss-up. It has no comedy competition for 5 weeks, so it could earn some viewers, but the show itself has a much weaker lead-in than Voice, and this is NBC Thursday, so it's something to stay tuned for. And McCarthys doesn't have much life in it either. It's got to do extremely well and Scorpion has to fail for it to not be replaced by Mike and Molly. Those are my two cents.
Other - ABC's Forever.
ReplyDeleteNew shows that ABC aired on tuesdays 10 PM last season:
Lucky 7 - two episodes and done
Killer Women - cut from 8 episodes to six.
Mind Games - pulled after five episodes.
You're mostly right, the shows pulled earlier (Made in Jersey, Lucky 7, Ironside, Lone Star) recently were dramas.
ReplyDeleteCBS is the only that pulls comedies (Partners, How to Be a Gentleman, We Are Men), even though NBC dropped Welcome to The Family after 3 episodes last season.
That's true, but CBS lame shows get renewed because of their timeslots.
ReplyDelete2 Broke Girls aired after a strong 2.5 Men Season (when the show came back huge due to Asthon Kutcher taking the lead role) and The Millers is a timeslot hit created by TBBT.
The McCarthys seems one of those comedies they pull after six episodes like Partners and We Are Men.
Also, Jane's timeslot is way worse than Reign's.
My ranking:
ReplyDelete1- Forever (ABC)
2- Mysteries of Laura (NBC)
3- Jane The Virgin (CW)
4- Red Band Society (FOX)
5- Cristela (ABC)
6- Scorpion (CBS)
7- Bad Judge (NBC)
8- Selfie (ABC)
9- The McCarthys (CBS)
10- Mulaney (FOX)
PS: Fresh on The Boat airs on midseason, no way it wins.
You can it the entire menu if you throw Community up.
ReplyDelete