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Ratings News - 9th October 2014

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Today's Early Overnight Ratings

Top 25 Markets

Thanks to Ed for the Top 25 Markets.

Arrow 1.2
Flash (R) 0.8
Middle 2.1
Goldbergs 2.6
Modern 4.1
Blackish 3.2
Nashville 1.5
Mysteries 1.2
SVU 1.9
CPD 1.6
Survivor 2.4
Criminal 2.1
Stalker 1.5
Hell's 1.8
Red Band 1.0


This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Can't see the tables? Check out our Troubleshooting Guide

Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Wednesday Ratings
Mixed Results for the Quartet of New Series

Wednesday 10/08/14

Household
Rating/Share
CBS 5.9/10
NBC 5.3/ 9
ABC 5.1/ 8
Fox 2.7/ 4
CW 1.8/ 3

———-

-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Wednesday 10/09/13:
NBC: +32, ABC: + 2, CW: – 5, CBS: – 8, Fox: -49

———-

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. As always, these overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence. Fox, on the flipside, dipped by 49 percent.

———-

-Winners:
“Survivor” (CBS), “The Mysteries of Laura” (NBC), “Modern Family” (ABC), “Criminal Minds” (CBS)

-Honorable Mention:
“Arrow” (CW), “The Goldbergs” (ABC), “Black-ish” (ABC), “Law & Order: SVU” (NBC)

-Quiet:
“Nashville” (ABC)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
“Hell’s Kitchen” (Fox), “Red Band Society” (Fox)

———-

Ratings Breakdown:
CBS scored another Wednesday overnight household victory. And ABC’s two-hour sitcom block is looking particularly solid. But also worthy of bragging rights is NBC. Anchored by surprise older-skewing hit “The Mysteries of Laura,” NBC built by 32 percent in the overnights year-to-year.

“The Mysteries of Laura” opened with a 6.0 rating/10 share in households from 8-9 p.m., which inched past competing “Survivor” on CBS (5.9/10) by one-tenth of a rating point (or two percent). “Survivor,” which was on par from one year earlier, will lead the hour in the key young adult demos, of course. But compared to former time period occupant “Revolution” on the year-ago evening (3.6/ 6 on 10/09/13), “The Mysteries of Laura” increased by 67 percent. And it continues to give a boost to lead-out “Law & Order: SVU” (#3: 5.3/ 8 at 9 p.m.), which increased by 21 percent from the 4.3/ 7 on the year-ago evening. Not bad for a series in season No. 16!

Sophomore “Chicago PD” capped off the night for NBC with a second-place 4.6/ 8 in the overnights at 10 p.m., which increased from the failed revival of year-ago occupant “Ironside” (3.9/ 7 on 10/09/13) by 18 percent. Last week, “Chicago PD” scored a 4.3/ 7 (out of a 5.3/ 8 for “SVU”). In an environment where youth is the main ingredient, NBC’s 50+-targeted combination of “The Mysteries of Laura,” “Law & Order: SVU” and “Chicago PD” still has value.

In season-premiere news, “Arrow” opened season three on The CW with a 2.0/ 3 in the overnights at 8 p.m., which was one-tenth of a rating point (or five percent) below the 2.1/ 3 for its season-opener on the year-ago evening. One night earlier, spin-off “The Flash” launched with a 3.4/ 5. And “Arrow” led into an encore of that pilot episode of “The Flash” at a 1.6/ 3 at 9 p.m. (#5). Comic-Con, which begins today in New York City, should be buzzing with talk about these two CW dramas. Note to The CW: you have found a solid niche!

In episode two news, CBS drama “Stalker” scored a dominant 5.1/ 9 at 10 p.m., which was a typical 15 percent below its 6.0/10 debut one week earlier. And that 6.1 in the overnights translated into 9.05 million viewers and a 2.0 rating/6 share among adults 18-49, based on the fast nationals. Comparably, retention for “Stalker” out of the 9:30 p.m. portion of lead-in “Criminal Minds” (6.6/11) was an acceptable 77 percent. In other words, dominant “Stalker” is respectable but by no means a breakout hit.

“Criminal Minds,” now featuring Jennifer Love Hewitt, led the 9 p.m. hour overall in the overnights with a 6.7/11, which was 11 percent below its season-premiere one week earlier (7.5/12 on Oct. 1) and seven percent below the 7.2/12 on the year-ago evening. Regardless, “Criminal Minds” remains a solid midweek performer for crime-drenched CBS.

Over at ABC, relocated sitcom “The Goldbergs” (#3: 4.7/ 8 at 8:30 p.m.) remains a solid fit out of lead-in “The Middle” (#3: 5.2/ 9 at 8 p.m.) with overnight retention of 90 percent. Last week, a 4.9/ 8 in the overnights for sophomore “The Goldbergs” out of a 5.2/ 9 for five-year old “The Middle” translated into a 2.3/ 8 in adults 18-49 for “The Goldbergs” and a 2.0/ 7 for “The Middle (based on the Live + Same Day data). In other words, you can totally anticipate a long run for “The Goldbergs.” Note to the Emmy voters: keep an eye (or two) on “Goldbergs” Mama Wendi McLendon-Covey.

In week three news, sitcom “Black-ish” on ABC (#2: 5.7/ 9 at 9:30 p.m.) remains the best fit, to-date, out of “Modern Family” (#1: 7.1/11) with overnight retention of 80 percent. Failed “Super Fun Night” on the year-ago evening (4.7/ 8 on 10/09/13) held only 62 percent of the 7.6/12 from “Modern Family.” Expect a back-nine episode order for “Black-ish” at any moment. Three-week overnight track for “Black-ish”: 7.6/12 – 6.1/10 – 5.7/ 9.

Closing the night for the alphabet net was quiet drama “Nashville” at a third-place 4.0/ 7 in the overnights at 10 p.m., which at a 3.9/ 7 in the overnights last week translated into 5.34 million viewers and a 1.6/ 5 among adults 18-49.

Fox, unfortunately, is suffering another evening of hefty losses with the pairing of “Hell’s Kitchen” (#4: 3.1/ 5 at 8 p.m.) and week four of “Red Band Society” (#4: series low 2.3/ 4 at 9 p.m.) down by an average of 49 percent in the household overnights from two-hours of “The X Factor” on the year-ago evening (5.3/ 9 on 10/09/13). Note to Simon Cowell…stop smirking!

Source: Nielsen Media Research data


About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

Don't forget to follow our Ratings Only Twitter Account for the latest Ratings News


Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Renew/Cancel
Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.

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