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Ratings News - 7th October 2014

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Today's Early Overnight Ratings

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.

Can't see the tables? Check out our Troubleshooting Guide

Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Monday Ratings
NBC Will Dominate in the Key Demos; The CW Soft

Monday 10/06/14

Household
Rating/Share
NBC 7.8/12
ABC 7.7/12
CBS 7.5/12
Fox 3.8/ 6
CW 0.9/ 1

-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Monday 10/07/13:
CBS: +67, CW: no change, NBC: – 7, ABC: – 8, Fox: -21

———-

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. As always, these overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

-Winners:
“The Big Bang Theory” (CBS), “The Voice” (NBC), “Scorpion” (CBS), “The Blacklist” (NBC)

-Still a Solid Option in Total Viewers:
“Dancing With the Stars” (ABC)

-Respectable:
“Castle” (ABC), “NCIS: Los Angeles” (CBS)

-Don’t Forget About the Ample DVR Usage:
“Gotham” (Fox), “Sleepy Hollow” (Fox)

-Losers:
“The Originals” (CW), “A Very Special Supernatural Special” (CW)

———-

Ratings Breakdown:
It was another race to the Monday overnight finish line, with first-place NBC inching past ABC by one-tenth of a rating point and CBS by three-tenths of a rating point in households. And the home of “The Voice” will have no trouble winning the evening in all key young adult demographics, while CBS remains the most improved (with year-to-year overnight household growth of 67 percent).

Tops for the evening, once again, was CBS powerhouse “The Big Bang Theory” at a 10.3 rating/16 share at 8 p.m., followed by an encore telecast at a 7.5/11 (#3) at 8:30 p.m. Most new series drop another 10 percent from week two to three in the overnights, so a dip of that exact percentage in households was no surprise for CBS drama “Scorpion” at 9 p.m. And a competitive third-place 8.0/12 was still 60 percent, on average, above year-ago sitcom occupants “2 Broke Girls” (5.1/ 8 on 10/07/13) and “Mom” (4.9/ 7). Although the real test of just how durable “Scorpion” is will occur once “2 Broke Girls” is anchoring the evening (effective on Oct. 27), three episodes in and a full season episode order should be right around the corner.

Relocated “NCIS: Los Angeles” on the Eye net at 10 p.m., meanwhile, scored a third-place 5.8/ 9, which is a considerable 53 percent improvement over failed year-ago occupant “Hostages” (3.8/ 6 on 10/07/13). “NCIS: Los Angeles” was considerably stronger airing out of “NCIS” on Tuesday last season, of course, with a 9.6/15 on 10/08/13. But facing both “The Blacklist” and “Castle” is no easy feat.

In the 8-10 p.m. battle of “Dancing With the Stars” opposite “The Voice,” the ABC dance extravaganza held a one-tenth of a rating point advantage (8.5/13 vs. 8.4/13). And both had minor slippage from the year-ago evening, with “DWTS” down by seven percent (versus a 9.1/14 on 10/07/13) and “The Voice” down by six percent (versus an 8.9/13). So, the news remains more or less consistent this season, which is a good thing. But “The Voice,” no doubt, will clobber “DWTS” in the young adult demos, with its advantage in adults 18-49 last week (4.0 rating/11 share vs. 1.8/ 5) a sizeable 122 percent, based on the Live Plus Same Day data.

Tops at 10 p.m. was NBC’s “The Blacklist” at a 6.6/11 in the overnights, which was 10 percent below the 7.3/12 on the year-ago evening. But “Castle” on ABC was no slouch at a competitive second-place 6.3/10.

In week three news, “Gotham” on Fox dipped by another 13 percent in the overnights with a 4.6/ 7 at 8 p.m. Three-week overnight track: 5.7/ 9 – 5.3/ 8 – 4.6/ 7. While this was only equal to “Bones” on the year-ago evening, the considerable early gains via the DVR and the social media presence still makes “Gotham” a definite keeper. Smaller overnight lead-in support translated into a loss of nine percent week-to-week for “Sleepy Hollow,” which scored a fourth-place 3.1/ 5 at 9 p.m. Comparably, this was down by a hefty 38 percent from the year-ago evening (5.0/ 8 on 10/07/13). But “Sleepy Hollow,” like “Gotham,” is a large option via the DVR, which is one of the more important ingredients.

In season-premiere news, relocated sophomore “The Originals” on The CW opened with a miniscule 1.0/ 1 at 8 p.m., which dropped from its year-ago series-opener (1.7/ 3 on Thursday 10/03/13) by 41 percent. And this was 10 percent below the season-premiere of former time period occupant “Hart of Dixie” on the year-ago evening (1.1/ 2 on 10/07/13). While there is much more to the overnights, don’t expect all that much based on this initial set of data.

Next on The CW was a behind-the-scenes look at the first nine seasons of “Supernatural” (subtitled “A Very Special Supernatural Special”) at a 0.8/ 1 (#5), which was not all that…well…special. Season No. 10 of “Supernatural” kicks-off this evening at 9 p.m. out of the launch of “The Flash.”

Source: Nielsen Media Research data


About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

Don't forget to follow our Ratings Only Twitter Account for the latest Ratings News


Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Renew/Cancel
Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.

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