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Ratings News - 1st October 2014

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Today's Early Overnight Ratings

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.
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Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Tuesday Ratings
Sitcoms “Selfie” and “Manhattan Love Story” Stalled at the ABC Gate

Tuesday 9/30/14

Household
Rating/Share
CBS 9.5/15
NBC 7.9/13
ABC 3.5/ 6
Fox 1.8/ 3
CW 0.7/ 1

-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Tuesday 10/01/13:
NBC: – 2, CBS: – 6, ABC: – 8, CW: -22, Fox: -28
———-

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. As always, these overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

-Winners:
“NCIS” (CBS), “The Voice” (NBC), “NCIS: New Orleans” (CBS)

-Honorable Mention:
“Chicago Fire” (NBC)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
“Selfie” (ABC), “Manhattan Love Story” (ABC), “Utopia” (Fox), “iHeartradio Music Festival” (CW), “New Girl” (Fox), “The Mindy Project” (Fox)

———-

Ratings Breakdown:
Yes, we know…the household overnights are not the complete picture. There is much more to the equation, including DVR usage and social media. But these metered markets are an indication of what could lie ahead, and there is no way to put a positive spin on the opening overnights for ABC comedies “Selfie” and “Manhattan Love Story.”

CBS, as expected, topped this second Tuesday of the new TV season in the overnights, and the home of “The Voice,” NBC, is a lock for leadership in adults 18-49 (and all key young adult demos). The Eye net’s veteran “NCIS” was top-rated for the evening, with an 11.7 rating/19 share at 8 p.m. Comparably, that was six percent above the 11.0/18 for the season-premiere one week earlier (which translated into 18.23 million viewers and a 2.9 rating/10 share among adults 18-49, based on the Live + Same Day data).

Next on CBS was episode two of “NCIS: New Orleans” at a dominant 10.3/16 at 9 p.m., which bested year-ago occupant “NCIS: Los Angeles” (9.5/15 on 10/01/13) by eight percent and maintained 98 percent of its 10.5/16 debut one week earlier. Yes…”NCIS: New Orleans” is a hit. And capping off the night for CBS was drama “Person of Interest” at a dominant 6.7/11 at 10 p.m., which dipped by 19 percent from the 8.3/15 on the year-ago evening. Competing “Chicago Fire” on NBC (#2: 5.5/ 9), which was equal from both one week and one year earlier, is a lock for leadership in the key demos.

“The Voice” on NBC, meanwhile, scored a healthy 9.0/14 in the overnights from 8-10 p.m., which was six percent above the 8.5/13 one week earlier. And now onto ABC…

Sitcom “Selfie” launched with a distant third-place 3.7/ 6 in the overnights at 8 p.m., leading into the debut of “Manhattan Love Story” at a 3.2/ 5 at 8:30 p.m. – also a far No. 3. And the two comedies, on average, trailed year-ago occupant “Marvel’s Agents of SHIELD” (5.6/ 9 on 10/01/13) by a hefty 38 percent and the week-ago live “Dancing With the Stars” Results Show (7.0/11 on Sept. 23) by 51 percent. Since most new series drop in the vicinity of 10 to 20 percent in week two, this is a stalled at the gate start for both comedies.

Next on ABC was relocated “Marvel’s Agents of SHIELD” at a 3.2/ 5 from 9-10 p.m., which was 16 percent below the 3.8/ 6 one week earlier (which translated into 5.98 million viewers and a 2.1/ 6 among adults 18-49, based on the Live + Same Day data). Keep in mind that the “SHIELD” sophomore season opener increased to 8.9 million viewers (+2.92 million) and a 3.2 in adults 18-49 (+52 percent), based on the Live + 3 Day data. The DVR usage is significant.

Capping off ABC’s night was episode three of drama “Forever” at a third-place 3.9/ 7 at 10 p.m., which decreased by seven percent from the 4.2/ 7 in the overnights for its time period debut one week earlier. Compared to failed year-ago occupant “Lucky 7” (2.0/ 4 on 10/01/13), this was still a rise of 95 percent, however.

Elsewhere, the Tuesday results remain challenging for Fox, which cannot compete with its combination of “Utopia” (#4: 1.7/ 3 – tick, tock, the cancellation clock is ticking) and sitcoms “New Girl” (#4: 2.0/ 3) and “The Mindy Project” (#4: 1.8/ 3). And The CW populated the evening with part two of low-rated special, iHeartradio Music Festival, which scored a mere 0.7/ 1 from 8-10 p.m. Next Tuesday on The CW will feature the series-debut of “The Flash” and the season-premiere of long-running “Supernatural.”

Source: Nielsen Media Research data


About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

Don't forget to follow our Ratings Only Twitter Account for the latest Ratings News


Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Renew/Cancel
Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.

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